Monday, September 2, 2019

With much sadness


What I Think About Guns

            In last weekend’s mass shooting, seven people were killed in Texas; more than twenty were injured.  Not long ago it was Ohio, a different Texas city and California before that.  But those are only the shootings that jump to mind.  In fact, in 2019 the United States is averaging more than one mass shooting per day—that’s defining a mass shooting as four or more persons shot excluding the shooter.
            Mass shootings get headlines, but more people die from handguns than the high capacity guns usually used by mass shooters.  “Ordinary” murders, one or two at a time, outnumber those killed in the mass cases.  And gun suicides outnumber all the murders put together.  Over 33,000 people were killed by shooters in 2017.  Quite likely, this year’s total will be higher.
            Interestingly, the shooting death rate was actually a little higher in the 1970s.  As the U.S. population grew and the baby boomers aged, the ratio of most violent crimes decreased greatly.  Recent increases in murder and suicide have not quite caught up with the heyday of shooting deaths in 1974.  Statistically speaking, all violent crimes are more likely to be committed by younger people.  Now that we are an older population we ought to have much lower violent crime rate.  And we do—fewer bank robberies, property crimes, and so forth have declined significantly.  Shooting deaths are the exception, a smaller decline that looks to be erased soon.
Of course, the U.S. shooting death rate is far higher than corresponding numbers from Canada, the U.K., Australia, France, Germany, and many other countries.  If it’s any consolation, our shooting death rate is lower than some countries: Columbia Venezuela, Guatemala, El Salvador, and Honduras.  It’s not surprising that refugees from these countries try to escape civil wars and gang wars (is there a difference?) by fleeing to the U.S.
Which would you rather be like, El Salvador or France?
Let’s not jump to conclusions.  Obviously there are many social factors that probably increase rates of violent crime.  But easy access to what I will call killer weapons has be a causal factor in shooting deaths.
By “killer” weapons I do not mean hunting rifles.  “Killer” weapons are those expressly designed to kill people.  Our military forces have a vast variety of such weapons, including explosives and chemicals and germ weapons.  (The military may dispute that sentence.  They might deny they stockpile germ weapons or certain kinds of nerve gases.  I wish I could believe them.)
Should private citizens have access to the variety of killer weapons that our armed forces have?  Almost no one would agree to that.  Timothy McVeigh had to build his bomb; if killers could buy bombs like handguns, the Boston Marathon bombers could have killed thousands rather than a handful.
The only killer weapons readily available to ordinary citizens are guns.  People can use knives or cars or fertilizer to commit murder or suicide, but they have to work at it.  Knives, cars, and fertilizer are not designed to be convenient killer weapons.  Guns are.  That’s why more than half of all suicides are gun suicides, because guns are so good at killing.  If hanging oneself, or using pills, or electrocuting oneself, or driving off a road, or any of the other methods of suicide were as “effective” as guns, the “successful” suicide rate would be far higher.
People believe deeply that having a gun makes them safer.  It’s not true.  And even if it were true (perhaps you think your gun will make you safer; like a teen driver you don’t think the statistics apply to you), it would only be true if the gun owner were willing to use it.  When you buy your gun for protection, it means you must be willing to use it.  You must be willing to kill.  So ask yourself: are you willing to kill to protect your stuff?  What is it you own that is more valuable than a human life?
No, no.  You say I misunderstand.  You would only use your gun to protect your life or the life of your child.  You would never use it to shoot an unarmed burglar.  Except, of course, that you never know if the burglar is unarmed.  So in reality you are willing to kill a stranger if he might be armed.  Really?  Are you ready to kill a stranger who may or may not be a danger to you?
The statistics are that the gun you buy will more likely be used in suicide or accidental death or stolen and used against you.  Nevertheless, people deeply believe that having a gun makes them safer.
Many people call for “common sense” gun laws.  I agree, but we need to be realistic.  The U.S. citizenry has about 300 million guns.  Some of them are rifles for hunting.  Some are used in sport shooting.  That leaves at least 250 million guns owned for the express purpose of shooting people.  (You can tell yourself your gun is for defense, but you have to be willing to use it.  It’s purpose is to shoot people.)  With that many guns in circulation, we should not expect any “common sense” gun law to have immediate effect on shooting deaths.  The most we can hope for is a slow decline in shooting deaths.
“Common sense”?  I think guns should be registered and insured.  Gun owners should be civilly liable if their weapons are used to commit crimes.  If your gun is stolen and used in a crime, your insurance should pay.  Naturally, if your insurance company knows you keep your gun under lock and key, your insurance rate will be lower.  I do NOT think such laws would stop shooting deaths, but I’m quite confident shooting deaths would decline.